Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.640465 0.826948 1.037627 1.290326 1.582274 1.906193 2.289942
2025-05-18 0.387492 0.617590 0.912528 1.304699 1.799135 2.389276 3.134113
2025-05-25 0.219555 0.446379 0.779447 1.268843 1.935795 2.781714 3.903908
2025-06-01 0.142404 0.367904 0.742703 1.340786 2.206062 3.353074 4.928403
2025-06-08 0.082493 0.285529 0.673292 1.346418 2.377601 3.800866 5.816478
2025-06-15 0.055377 0.250537 0.669202 1.444438 2.682368 4.439874 6.981271
2025-06-22 0.034003 0.212156 0.645995 1.503360 2.928202 5.005022 8.065903
2025-06-29 0.018623 0.173959 0.609675 1.530292 3.121331 5.499266 9.066831
2025-07-06 0.007728 0.131835 0.548068 1.498060 3.212001 5.843009 9.864326
2025-07-13 0.003202 0.107514 0.518938 1.520041 3.388732 6.316947 10.855923
2025-07-20 0.000981 0.086643 0.489428 1.534418 3.549879 6.769679 11.825974
2025-07-27 0.000077 0.062761 0.437175 1.489906 3.601459 7.051807 12.551867
2025-08-03 NaN 0.042832 0.384443 1.435497 3.633439 7.309848 13.260200
2025-08-10 NaN 0.032440 0.360620 1.443911 3.780693 7.756250 14.261332
2025-08-17 NaN 0.021251 0.320229 1.401895 3.827178 8.039455 15.022730
2025-08-24 NaN 0.018546 0.324223 1.476970 4.105607 8.711669 16.390283
2025-08-31 NaN 0.013249 0.304193 1.481997 4.244040 9.154454 17.414487
2025-09-07 NaN 0.012530 0.318137 1.586067 4.587747 9.950063 18.997251
2025-09-14 NaN 0.010469 0.318046 1.648581 4.848746 10.611711 20.382959
2025-09-21 NaN 0.007824 0.307356 1.677115 5.040100 11.159019 21.599323
2025-09-28 NaN 0.004550 0.278512 1.642712 5.095849 11.474058 22.456379
2025-10-05 NaN 0.003120 0.268256 1.666083 5.275206 12.006006 23.662589
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001982 0.256421 1.681371 5.436612 12.508975 24.828959